Kalshi Settlement Multiplier Contracts: Understanding Leverage, Margin Requirements, and Liquidation Risk on Leveraged Event Outcomes
A trader forecasts that US unemployment will fall below 3.8 percent by the end of Q2, but the raw probability-linked contract moves slowly because the implied odds are already baked into the $50 baseline price. Rather than accept the capital efficiency of a standard position, the trader considers a leveraged variant—a settlement multiplier contract that